Sunday, May 06, 2007

The English Conservative imperative

This is the political map of the United Kingdom following Thursday’s results, and very encouraging it looks too. Some communicants may be disturbed that Cranmer appears to have abandoned the ‘religio-’ suffix to his political inquiries, but it is necessary to dig beneath the superficialities of party politics and electoral snapshots in order to discern the deeper realities of this outcome.

According to The Sunday Times, based on these voting patterns, the Conservative Party would win a general election by 54 seats. Despite the carping of the biased-BBC, this was a good result for Mr Cameron. However, with Mr Blair due to announce his departure this week, the next general election is not likely to be until 2010. Gordon Brown has not waited a decade for power in order to call an immediate general election and risk going down in history as one of Britain’s all-time shortest serving prime ministers. The electorate is fickle and forgetful, and the era of tribal loyalties has passed. Three years is an age away, and this election was more a vote against Mr Blair than it was a vote for any alternative.

The SNP must be reminded that two-thirds of the Scottish people voted to retain the Union. It might help too if Mr Salmond understood that the Union between Scotland and England was the work of a Scottish king, who inherited the English throne, and chose Westminster as his seat of power. As Mr Salmond claims the ‘moral authority’ to be Scotland’s first minister, he will make incremental independence demands upon the UK’s new Scottish prime minister, and these wranglings will dominate Mr Brown’s premiership. The West Lothian leitmotif will be a constant refrain which Mr Salmond could deploy to make Labour and the ‘anti-Scottish’ Mr Brown increasingly unpopular.

But amidst all this politicising, Mr Cameron needs to study this map very carefully indeed, for it confirms Cranmer’s English thesis. The Conservative road to power lies in understanding the history, literature, traditions, institutions, laws and customs of the English. If Mr Cameron were to offer the English something to forge and reinforce their sense of identity, his walk into No 10 would be assured.


Anonymous Voyager said...

the next general election is not likely to be until 2010

I doubt it will last that will turn nasty in both Europe and domestically and Labour's majority (dependent upon Scottish MPs) is no longer secure

6 May 2007 at 10:02  
Blogger Cranmer said...

Mr Voyager,

You must have been waiting to pounce on this post, for it took you all of five minutes to proffer your thoughts.

His Grace pondered 2009, but he has a sense of Major's predicament: does one call a general election a year before one constitutionally needs to, and risk curtailing one's premiership; or does one go the full term, in the (vain) hope that 'events' may conspire to instil a greater hope?

6 May 2007 at 10:10  
Blogger Joseph said...

Perhaps "Thatcherism with a Human Face" is part of the answer. Surely the state can provide public services at a lower cost and with more efficiency that Labour. If Cameron enters an contest with Browm on how much each can spend on schools and hospitals he is bound to lose. Spending other people's money is the motivation for Labour. You can't really outbid them.

On England and the union, Cameron seems unwilling to articulate a alternative vision of either Britain or England.

The Scottish Parliament will always want more power no matter who controls it. Confederation may be the answer. NuLabour less 2 or 3% somehow does not inspire. Is Cameron prepared to continue Blair's "liberal interventionist" foreign policy or offer a genuine alternative based on independence and national renewal.

Labour has undermined the union, and will fragment England, with its policy of balkanisation.Look at poor old Northern Ireland as the criminals prepare to enjoy the spoils.

6 May 2007 at 11:30  
Anonymous Voyager said...

You must have been waiting to pounce on this post

I was orbiting and saw that signals were emitting from a distant planet......

It is the need to have a majority that matters...Callaghan had a cobbled deal with the Liberals vote-by-vote.

This time Brown and his Scottish bandits have been rejected by their own voters and those Scottish MPs are his only unpopular measures into English constituencies which hardly bodes well for English Labour MPs.

Brown's hero is Jimmy Maxton...and I think the Parliamentary Labour Party is about to relive those fractious years with the ILP....Brown is tribal and this party is breaking up

6 May 2007 at 11:39  
Blogger wonkotsane said...

Did you read my Dear Dave email, your grace?

6 May 2007 at 17:07  
Blogger wrinkled weasel said...

Alec Salmond does not eat your children or cheat at cards.

All he has done is ask for a referendum.

Try to be a bit less hysterical, your Grace.

6 May 2007 at 21:01  
Blogger Cranmer said...

Mr Weasel,

You manifestly have no remote comprehension of the meaning of the word 'hysterical', to which the hyperbole of your response would doubtless qualify. Moreover, you could not possibly be aware of what Mr Salmond has done to or with His Grace's children, and neither have you ever in your entire life played him at cards. Your response is not therefore merely hysterical hyperbole, but fabrication and fantasy.

Mr Wonkotsane,


6 May 2007 at 21:09  
Anonymous Colin said...

"I was orbiting and saw that signals were emitting from a distant planet......"

Orbiting planet earth from a distance + being all-knowing = god

Hence, voyager = god.

Eureka! Our saviour is back.

6 May 2007 at 21:10  
Anonymous Colin said...

My apologies for my inappropriate comment. Voyager, although he knows everything, isn't god, yet. But he is working hard to catch up. With best wishes for a successful career.

6 May 2007 at 21:18  
Anonymous Voyager said...


"Voyager has entered the final lap on its race to the edge of interstellar space, as it begins exploring the solar system's final frontier," said Dr. Edward Stone, Voyager project scientist at the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena.

7 May 2007 at 13:28  
Anonymous Colin said...

Bon voyage et bonne découverte!

8 May 2007 at 19:16  

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